Angus Reid Poll shows NDP ahead
A poll conducted by Angus Reid Strategies from March 13 to 15, 2010 had the following provincial results (Source Data):
NDP – 43%
BC Liberal – 35%
Green – 13%
Conservative – 6%
905 people were sampled, error factor of 3.3%.
These results are not surprising given the backlash over the HST.
Since the next election is over three years away, I doubt the government are shivering in their boots at this moment – their biggest fear at this moment is potential vote splitting if the BC Conservative party has a surge like the Wildrose Alliance has in Alberta. However, the provincial dynamics are much different in British Columbia.
Of note is the following geographic split:
GVRD – NDP 49%, BC Liberal 35%, Green 11%, Conservative 3%
Vancouver Island – NDP 44%, BC Liberal 29%, Green 20%, Conservative 5%
Interior – NDP 36%, BC Liberal 36%, Green 13%, Conservative 8%
North – NDP 28%, BC Liberal 43%, Green 7%, Conservative 18%
Reading the tea leaves, the NDP would be able to form a rough 55 seat majority government if this result materialized in a general election. Of note is the leaderless and media-unsavvy BC Conservative party being able to poll above the noise factor in the North and Interior.
(March 24, 2010 @ 13:46):
It’s too bad Angus Reid doesn’t poll British Columbians on some real material core issues like: Do you agree on indebting our children? Do you believe in Liberty, Freedom and Private Property Rights? Do you believe that our present healthcare system is sustainable? Should we eliminate all forms of taxation in BC, and replace them with ” a single fair tax ” based on consumption? Do you think we have too much government? Do you think government spends too much? Is government over paid? Should the BC Government be allowed to run deficit budgets? Should government be reduced in size too 9 Ministries? Should we repeal the Agriculture Land Reserve Act? I think you’d find, that if you polled British Columbians accurately on this set of questions, you would discover that the vast majority of the electorate are neither; Liberal, NDP, Conservative or Green.
But in fact Libertarian, especially in rural BC.
Alan Clarke, Kelowna