Angus Reid Poll – NDP 49, BCL 22, CON 19

An Angus Reid Poll (their link, local copy), polling 804 people between July 30 to August 1 had the following voter intentions:

BC NDP – 49%
BC Liberals – 22%
BC Conservatives – 19%
BC Greens – 9%
Other/Independent – 2%

Regional Split:

Metro Vancouver: NDP 50 / BCL 23 / CON 18 / GRN 6 / Other 2
Vancouver Island: NDP 55 / BCL 18 / CON 13 / GRN 13 / Other 0
Interior: NDP 35 / BCL 25 / CON 27 / GRN 11 / Other 2
North: NDP 63 / BCL 16 / CON 17 / GRN 3 / Other 1

The provincial result is quite consistent with the Forum survey that ran concurrently to this poll. There really isn’t anything new to report other than that this is a confirmation that this upcoming election is the NDP’s to lose – they are massively in the lead.

Plugging in the migration numbers into the mechanical calculator gets a predicted result of the following seat split:

BC NDP – 81
BC Liberal – 2 (Vancouver-Quilchena and West Vancouver-Capilano)
Others – 2 (Vicki Huntington in Delta South, and Peace River North)

It is ironic that the next opposition might be the combined forces of Vicki Huntington and Bob Simpson.