May 13, 2013 Prediction
My election prediction (Link) is, with popular vote projection in brackets:
 
BC NDP - 59 [45%] BC Liberal - 21 [35%] BC Green - 0 [10%]
BC Conservative - 1 [7%] Independent - 4 [3%]
 
BC NDP - 59 [45%] BC Liberal - 21 [35%] BC Green - 0 [10%]
BC Conservative - 1 [7%] Independent - 4 [3%]
Pundits’ Predictions
Pundits' Predictions (link here)
Pundit's Prediction Results
Club 85 Contest
Club 85 Contest - Predict the 2013 BC Election
Entries: 24 (view them here)
The winner: Stephen Walker. (link here)
Electoral Districts
Recent Comments
- Stephen Walker on Finances – BC NDP
- Ron Polly on Finances – BC NDP
- Stephen Walker on Club 85 Contest – Entries
- Stephen Walker on Club 85 Contest – Entries
- dan banov on Club 85 Contest: The winner!
- dan banov on Club 85 Contest: The winner!
- Frank Bucholtz on Club 85 Contest – Entries
Independents
- * How to get on this list
- Arthur Hadland (Peace River North)
- Bob Simpson (Cariboo North)
- Dayleen Van Ryswyk (Kelowna-Mission)
- Doug Pederson (Boundary-Similkameen)
- Gary Law (Richmond Centre)
- Jaime Webbe (North Vancouver-Seymour)
- James Crosty (New Westminster)
- Jeremy Gustafson (Vancouver-Mount Pleasant)
- John Shavluk (Delta North)
- John van Dongen (Abbotsford South)
- Kevin Mitchell (Fort Langley-Aldergrove)
- Moe Gill (Abbotsford West)
- Scott McEachern (Saanich North and the Islands)
- Vicki Huntington (Delta South)
- William Gibbens (Vancouver-Point Grey)
Parties
- B.C. Vision
- BC Conservative Party
- BC Excalibur Party
- BC First Party
- BC Liberal Party
- BC Libertarian Party
- BC NDP
- BC Social Credit Party
- Communist Party of BC
- Green Party Political Association of BC
- Helping Hand Party
- Platnium Party of Employers Who Think and Act to Increase Awareness
- Unparty: The Consensus-Building Party
- Work Less Party

2009 vs. 2013 polling differences
Commentary
August 13, 2012
by Sacha Peter
Comparing the polling four years ago to the polling today between the BC Liberals and the NDP show that the NDP is roughly 5 to 7 points ahead of their previous performance. This graph is a little difficult to read quickly, but the dashed lines show the run-up to the 2009 election, while the solid lines show current polling for the 2013 election.
If trends continue, the experiences of the previous three elections leading to the phrase of “The NDP will only be able to obtain 42% of the support of the province in any election” will be shattered this upcoming election. I have always thought that this perceived ceiling was a myth.
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