Angus Reid Poll – NDP 46, BCL 25, CON 19

An Angus Reid Poll (their link, local copy), polling 800 people between September 10 to 11 had the following voter intentions:

BC NDP – 46%
BC Liberals – 25%
BC Conservatives – 19%
BC Greens – 8%
Other/Independent – 1%

Regional Split:

Metro Vancouver: NDP 49 / BCL 25 / CON 19 / GRN 6 / Other 1
Vancouver Island: NDP 53 / BCL 24 / CON 11 / GRN 11 / Other 0
Interior: NDP 34 / BCL 28 / CON 25 / GRN 10 / Other 3
North: NDP 50 / BCL 26 / CON 18 / GRN 5 / Other 0

This provincial poll is roughly consistent with the previous Angus Reid poll – the BC Liberals are up 3, and the NDP is down 3, but otherwise everything is within the bound of the margin of error. Quite frankly, there isn’t a heck of a lot new in this poll, except for perhaps the interpretation that the well-publicized discord going on internally within the BC Conservative party hasn’t affected the party in polling – at least with this one.

Plugging in the migration numbers into the mechanical calculator gets a predicted result of the following seat split – notably this did not change from the last projection:

BC NDP – 81
BC Liberal – 2 (Vancouver-Quilchena and West Vancouver-Capilano)
Others – 2 (Vicki Huntington in Delta South, and Peace River North)

Polls from 2009 to 2013 to September 12, 2012