Date registered: September 26, 2009
URL: http://bc2013.com
I have compiled the results for Club 85. If the results were close, I would have waited until final count (which is two weeks from now) to be concluded. However, the results are not even close. There is one clear and unambiguous winner who is ahead by a mile. That is: Stephen Walker. He was …
The winner, in terms of projection by seat, goes to Eric Grenier of ThreeHundredEight.com who predicted 69 out of 85 outcomes. Pundit predictions were posted here. I came in dead last! Since there is little use in listening to my commentary anymore, we will let the data speak for itself. Of course, if you wish …
One of the losers this election (other than being my own election prediction credibility) has been those of pollsters that were predicting the NDP winning a plurality of votes. Recall the polls leading up to the 2013 election date: The following is the absolute error of pollsters, in rank order: It is clear the top …
The following is a table of what the pundits have predicted, seat-by-seat. These were taken from their respective websites late on May 13 or early May 14. Please add to the comments below if you see any inconsistencies. Alex G. Tsakumis – Predictions Bernard Schulmann – Predictions Bryan Breguet – Predictions Chad Moats – Predictions …
I am going to highlight three people from the two main parties and an independent. If I lived in any of their electoral districts, I would vote for them. BC Liberals – Gabby Kalaw (Vancouver-Kensington) – Nearly winning a seat as an NPA Park Commissioner candidate in the previous Vancouver civic election, he is running …
My final election prediction is the following: Seats: BC NDP – 59 BC Liberal – 21 BC Conservative – 1 Independent – 4 Popular Vote: BC NDP – 45% BC Liberal – 35% BC Green – 10% BC Conservative – 7% Others – 3% Thoughts Both major party leaders are not popular, for wildly different …
In what will very likely be the last public poll done before the May 14, 2013 election, an Angus Reid Poll (their copy, local copy), polling 803 people between May 12-13, 2013 had the following voter intentions. I have also included the Angus Reid polls conducted in 2013 for comparison purposes: Analysis This poll is …
Seats:
Majority Government:
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Election 2013: Initial Vote, Maps
Commentary
May 15, 2013
by Sacha Peter
The three tightest races, based off of initial count: Saanich North and the Islands, a 52 vote difference in favour of the BC NDP; Coquitlam-Maillardville, roughly a 105 vote difference in favour of the BC Liberals; Surrey-Fleetwood, a 265 vote difference in faovur of the BC Liberals. Currently, 22 seats have the combined BC Liberal …
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