I am going to highlight three people from the two main parties and an independent. If I lived in any of their electoral districts, I would vote for them. BC Liberals – Gabby Kalaw (Vancouver-Kensington) – Nearly winning a seat as an NPA Park Commissioner candidate in the previous Vancouver civic election, he is running …
Category Archive: Commentary
2013 Advanced Voting Statistics
Advanced voting closed last Saturday. Bernard Schulmann did a fairly good job summarizing the statistics. However, he used absolute value of voters. When comparing 2009 vs. 2013 as a function of registered voters, we have the top 5 ridings in terms of change of registered voters: Victoria-Beacon Hill 4.92% North Vancouver-Lonsdale 4.80% Chilliwack-Hope 4.75% Abbotsford …
Club 85 Contest – Entries
I have received 24 entries to the Club 85 Contest by the May 13, 1:00am deadline. There were two subsequent entries/amendments that I have also inputted, and finally a partial entry after the 1:00am deadline. The late entries are not eligible for the prize, but I have included them in there for intellectual curiosity purposes. …
Advanced voting numbers, Day 1
Advanced voting numbers are being provided by Elections BC. There were 28% more people that voted in advance on the first day in 2013 compared to 2009. Keep in mind there is a 4% increase in registered voters between elections at the same time point. Since it is relatively inappropriate to make conclusions from a …
Which areas of BC are growing the fastest
Although there is the census to perform something like this, another way of trying to measure the growth of a particular area is by looking at the registered voter count. Below is a table that outlines the change in registered voters from the final tabulation after the May 2009 election to the April 23, 2013 …
2009 Advanced Voting Turnout
Elections BC is going to be releasing the 2013 advanced voting turnout statistics day-by-day and I will be updating the table as it comes in. For reference, the 2009 Advanced Voting Turnout can be found by clicking here. To summarize, about 10.1% of the registered voters voted in advance in the 2009 election. Vancouver-Hastings had …
Impact of voter migration and non-voters when it comes to polling
One factoid of trying to model the outcome of an election is to estimate how voters have migrated from election to election. One of the ways to obtain this information is through polling, and Angus Reid typically summarizes it with this entry in their polls: The only other variable that is not considered with this …
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Election 2013: Initial Vote, Maps
Commentary
May 15, 2013
by Sacha Peter
The three tightest races, based off of initial count: Saanich North and the Islands, a 52 vote difference in favour of the BC NDP; Coquitlam-Maillardville, roughly a 105 vote difference in favour of the BC Liberals; Surrey-Fleetwood, a 265 vote difference in faovur of the BC Liberals. Currently, 22 seats have the combined BC Liberal …
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